NATIONAL TREASURY'S RESPONSE TO THE ECONOMY ENTERING RECESSION
South Africa's Gross Domestc PrcH3uct (GDP) contracted per cent in the quarter of 2017. This worse-than-expected GDP outcome introduces significant downward bias to the GDP growth estimates communicated in the 2017 Budget Review, which projected 2017 GDP growth at 1.3 per cent.
Despite the GDP contraction, there are green shoots that South Africa can leverage on to boost its own economic growth outlook. These include:
improving global growth
stabilising commodity prices ,
more favourable climate conditions ,
reliable electricity supply, and
less volatile labour relations
The current growth rate, sustained, will lead to a further decline in GDP per capita and revenue, risking the sustainability of our fiscal framework and more importantly undermining the delivery of social services.
The current state of the economy puts moæ pressure on us as government, business, labour and broader society to intensify our growth programme and improve confidence as a matter of urgency to arrest the decline and set the economy on a higher trajectory.