Rebuilding legality will be major task for Jacob Zuma's successor
Irrespective of how long Jacob Zuma may still occupy the Presidency, South Africa needs to think now of how to meet the challenges it will face in the post-Zuma era. The most obvious of these is to move the country back on to a trajectory of economic growth.
No less formidable will be the restoration of legality. Unlike the old South Africa, built as it was upon parliamentary sovereignty, the post-apartheid Rechtsstaat was to be one where the rule of law would be supreme, power would be limited, and the courts would have the final say. The assault upon the Rechtsstaat, and the maiming of these ideals, are Mr Zuma's defining legacy. It goes beyond his destruction of the Scorpions and his undermining of the National Prosecuting Authority to avoid having to stand in the dock.
With its high crime rates, reckless driving, strike violence, and destructive protest, South Africa has long been a lawless country. Under Mr Zuma's rule, the state itself has become increasingly lawless. The most dramatic recent example is the decision (itself probably unlawfully taken) to withdraw from the International Criminal Court following brazen defiance of our own courts in aiding and abetting the escape of Omar al-Bashir last year. But Mr Zuma's actions to shield himself, and his government's actions to shield Mr al-Bashir, from the law are but the tip of a large iceberg.
It is no longer unusual for ministers or even junior officials to flout court orders. Judges periodically complain about this, but in practice there is little they can do to stop it. Sometimes when they try they are insulted or their judgements are taken on endless, wasteful, and often fruitless appeals.
Nor is it unusual for policemen or other officials to be appointed or dismissed contrary to the law. Torture in police cells appears to be routine. A criminal record is no bar to high office. "Irregular" expenditure is pervasive at all levels of government and right across the country. Moreover, as officials who include both the public protector and the auditor general have complained, the guilty parties in practice enjoy immunity.