The National Development Plan is gathering dust, not momentum
The ANC released its policy discussion documents this week ahead of the party’s mid-year National Policy Conference. ANC policy is ideologically incoherent, reflecting the war inside the ANC at the moment. Much of the policy is based on the National Development Plan, which is a widely supported blueprint for achieving the society envisaged by the writers of our Constitution.
However, many of these policies are opposed by the powerful Zuma faction which is in charge. They are not interested in sensible policy that will grow the economy and create jobs. They are interested in policies that facilitate further state capture and looting. Opposed to this faction are those who do have an interest in real reform and renewal, and who hate what the ANC has become. But they are in the minority, and will soon have to choose between the ANC and South Africa.
The fact is that today’s ANC lacks the capacity, the unity of purpose and the political will to effectively implement policy. By the ANC’s own admission, “deviant conduct has become deeply entrenched; and arrogance, factionalism and corruption have been identified by large sections of society, including ANC supporters, as dominant tendencies within the movement“. It warns that: “Internal squabbles, money politics, corruption and poor performance in government all conspire to undermine its legitimacy in the eyes of the broader public.“
The policy document seeks to increase state control and size. But the ANC is incapable of implementing this interventionist, developmental state agenda. They have failed to create a capable state. By President Zuma’s own recent admission, ANC local government destroyed the Nelson Mandela Bay Metro. “We ruined it for years, bit by bit. Now the opposition is in charge. We cannot say we are surprised by that.” Their disastrous policy of cadre deployment bit by bit replaced competency with corruption.
The ANC clearly recognizes that it faces the very real prospect of losing its majority in the next national elections in 2019. It states the need to “prepare itself for the complicated relationships involved in coalition governments“. It correctly recognises the urgent need to renew the organisation, and to make rapid inroads into fighting poverty and inequality if it is to retain its majority. But realistically, organizational renewal is extremely unlikely, because corruption is so deeply entrenched and because much of the party itself is captured by private interests.