The smoking gun: ANC will clearly benefit from Eskom price hikes
The array of information available now in the public domain provides compelling reasons to believe that the ANC will benefit from higher Eskom tariff hikes.
Firstly, as has been widely discussed in the press, the ANC's investment arm holds a 25% stake in Hitachi - a stake that Mathews Phosa said would be disinvested, but which the ANC still holds. This presents an untenable situation where, on the one hand, we have the state's crucial goals of social and economic development, and, on the other hand, we have a ruling party that stands to benefit from increasing electricity tariffs.
Secondly, and crucially, Hitachi Power Africa was established in late 2005, with Chancellor House obtaining a 25% share. This was just prior to the start of the tender process for Medupi in 2006.
Thirdly, several documents are now available publicly that demonstrate that the Hitachi tender was flawed. Last year, for instance, we released a confidential Eskom memo detailing, amongst other things, how Hitachi's submission was "relatively less applicable than the Alstom submission based on the opinion across various parameters". Likewise, the Eskom letter leaked in 2008, entitled "Summary of the Medupi Tender Process", demonstrates that the award of the R20-billion Medupi boiler contract should have been granted to the Alstom Steinmüller consortium and not to the Hitachi consortium.
Fourthly, Eskom adopted a fleet strategy to the tender process after the Medupi tender was finalised - which means that Hitachi no longer has to compete with other suppliers. As a consequence, for every coal power plant that is now constructed, Hitachi's shareholders - including the ANC - are ensured greater revenues.