Election Tracking Poll
In line with the IRR’s objective to become an authority on political market research, the Institute has undertaken a fifth survey of the electoral landscape to supplement surveys carried out in September 2018, December 2018, February 2019 and April 2019.
Our May Election Poll was in the field between 27 April and 4 May 2019. It was structured as a Tracking Poll, using a Five-Day Moving Average and it covered the national ballot, as well as the provincial ballot in Gauteng, the Western Cape and KwaZulu-Natal. For each, we have presented the “Daily Track”, so that you can see, on a daily basis, how party support moved leading up to Saturday 4 May, the final day on which the IRR Tracking Poll ran.
The full details can be found in the accompanying edition of The Criterion Report.
As of 4 May 2019, the last day on which the IRR tracking poll ran, the results suggest the following:
- The ANC could get less than 55%, depending on the last four days, turnout and taking into account the margin of error.