South Africa remains fiscally resiliant, but the Finance Minister could have been bolder on growth and infrastructure
South Africa's fiscal resiliance is higlighted by a decrease in our budget deficit from a forecast 5,2% to 4,6% of GDP. But the fact that Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan had the space to do this shows that he could have been bolder on a plan to drive growth and build infrastructure.
The global economy is forecast to grow at 3,3% this year, and Africa at 5,5%. It is clear that our growth of 2,7% is not good enough, and this budget should have done more to accelerate growth across the economy.
The biggest disappointment in the speech is the news that the Youth Wage Subsidy is not going to be implemented on the date announced by Treasury last year: 1 April 2012. The Finance Minister pays lip service to creating jobs for young people, but allows the ANC's alliance partners to hold up the implementation of the Youth Wage Subsidy and therefore block a policy that would create jobs for hundreds of thousands of young people.
We welcome the tax breaks for savings and small businesses, as well as the potential reduction in corporate tax in Special Economic Zones. We are also pleased to see steps to improve procurement processes, as well as the commitment to lower the cost of doing business, but achieving these objectives will actually require regulatory reform across the economy, and the Minister did not announce a clear plan to undertake this.
On social spending, the Democratic Alliance welcomes the provident fund for domestic and farm workers, as well as the additional resources allocated to education. We believe investing in human capital is fundamental to expanding the circle of opportunity to more and more people. The minimal increase in the state pension paid to senior citizens, however, is cause for concern because it does not take into account full annual increases in the cost of living.