Today (Thursday 28 March 2013) marks the start of the Constitutional Court case brought by the Democratic Alliance and others against the Speaker of the National Assembly (NA) and others. The Chief Whip of the Majority Party in Parliament (ANC) is the second respondent.
The case involves the motion of no confidence against the President of the Republic, proposed in the National Assembly by the DA and 7 other opposition parties in November last year. It was decided by the NA Programming Committee (NAPC) that the matter could not be tabled in the NA, due to time constraints. The DA alleged at the time that the ANC thwarted the tabling of the motion because they were scared that ANC MPs would vote in favour of the motion, as "many ANC MPs have expressed their dissatisfaction with Zuma's leadership style."
Personally I do not know which ANC MPs they are talking about, because I talk to ANC MPs on a daily basis, and although they are not always happy with certain things, I know of no single member who would vote in favour of such a drastic motion. Even though the DA's motion called for a secret ballot on the motion, ANC MPs would still not vote in favour, basically on principle.
The fourth quarter of any year is usually the shortest, and in Parliament, this is the time that we deal with due business, some of which had been scheduled months in advance. There are often legislation that had been introduced earlier in the year, and because of the legislative process, have to be adopted by the House before the year calender ends. Failure to adopt such legislation or any other matter would mean that it would lapse at the end of the year, and has to be revived at the beginning of the new year. In some such cases, this means that the process conducted during the year has to be repeated, bringing with it a total waste of money and other resources.
The DA; and all other opposition parties represented in parliament; knows that it is very difficult to schedule a debate of this magnitude in less than a month. By the time they have proposed the debate, there was less than three weeks left on the programme. And the programme was packed, even on the last sitting day of the House, members left the Assembly late in the afternoon, stretching into the night.
Currently the ANC has 264 members in the 400 seat NA. A debate like this would require a simple majority for success or defeat. The Constitution of South Africa, Section 102(1) states that the Assembly shall vote on a motion of no confidence in the President and has to pass a vote by majority. This means that 201 members would have to vote in favour or against the motion. The Rules of the NA also makes provision for this.