The ANC’s ambivalence on land and expropriation without compensation now seems to be landing them in a marsh. This is what happens if you allow yourself to be dictated to by parties such as the EFF without having properly considered the implications of the matter. Sooner or later you are going to come into conflict with one of your key support bases, something a party like the EFF does not really need to worry about.
For example, President Cyril Ramaphosa had to explain in great haste to King Goodwill Zwelithini that tribal land would not be forfeited to the state. These days, Ramaphosa is treading on eggshells like never before to satisfy everybody. Only time will tell whether it will be successful. So far, all of this proves that he and his party did not properly consider certain proposals and their implications, and now they must contend with furious Zulu kings threatening secession.
Consequently, the issue of expropriation has now become anything to anybody and confusion is rife. Ramaphosa promises that black land will not be touched, but he says expropriation without compensation is a sure thing. On how this is going to happen he is as cryptical as an Egyptian tomb. And then we were told only unproductive land would be taken.
Recently, Maite Nkoana-Mashabane, Minister of Rural Development and Land Reform, following months of silence on what is probably the most important issue in her portfolio, said government would still sell suitable state land to private individuals and companies for development. This was not the initial idea with the motion, but at least she has broken her silence, even though neither she nor the government are putting their money where their mouths are by immediately beginning to sell state land. The question therefore is: Why didn’t they start selling land this way long ago if this is their point of departure? According to conservative estimates, about a quarter of all agricultural land is directly or indirectly owned by the state.
All this confusion leaves the ANC with red faces (one of the obvious objectives of the EFF as a smaller party) and creates much doubt as to what is really at stake with the public hearings and motion and what will eventually result from the whole process. The public hearings have so far made it clear that members of the public insisting on land reform are still largely in favour of private ownership and not state ownership – whereas the motion is essentially aimed at state ownership of land.
This ambiguity and (intentional or accidental) confusion has led John Dludlu, a former editor of The Sowetan and self-appointed expert on land reform, to argue in Business Day that a referendum would be the only solution to the land issue.