Most South Africans had barely heard about Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir until this week. Few care about Sudan’s murky history and events surrounding war crimes and genocide in Darfur more than a decade ago. Whilst Palestine might resonate with a slightly larger domestic audience, South Africans really don’t place Sudan anywhere near their list of daily concerns.
With this in mind, the South African government’s ill-conceived and downright tragic actions in wilfully ignoring its own judicial authorities by allowing al-Bashir to leave the country play little in the domestic political space.
More importantly, they represent another example of a foreign policy pivot away from the West towards their BRICS partners and – more importantly - the evolving relationship with Russia and China.
The BRICS have largely lost their collective clout in recent years. Faltering GDP in Brazil and Russia has reduced their economic significance. China too is showing signs of economic lethargy as its own growth rates start to slow. Only India shows green shoots of progress as its new leadership attempts to court the private sector in a reversal of earlier policies.
But economics aside, it’s the shifting geo-political sands of the world that are important here. Russia’s recent annexation of the Crimea and her continued involvement in the Ukraine highlight a super-power that is still unhappy with the post-1999 new world order – an order in which the fall of the Berlin Wall was replaced with a perceived Western hegemon in Europe.
Similarly, China is flexing her military muscles. Increased spending on defence has gone hand in hand with the provocative man-made creation of islands in the South China Sea expected to house extensive military installations.