In his latest editorial entitled ‘Making sense or the lack of it, of politics' (Sunday Tribune, January 13, 2013) Jovial Rantao finally admits that there is a huge disconnect between the South African media agenda and the real South African public agenda.
Oddly, Rantao is flabbergasted at his own realisation, as he writes: "Something does not make sense. Things are just not adding up. The gap between the general sentiments among South Africans about the leadership of Jacob Zuma and the outcomes of the vote by the over 4500 delegates at the ANC 53rd national conference is way too big and calls for deep introspection among South Africans".
He laments that going into the conference, President Jacob Zuma was generally considered out of favour with the majority of South Africans, and this was apparently backed by polls. For reasons best known to the press, the poll results of the South African population were extrapolated to determine candidates' popularity within the ANC. In research you may not apply the results of a specific survey (generally popularity of government leaders) to a population which was not included (ANC members) in that survey. The press must understand that the only population to which the results of a survey can be directly generalized is the population which made up the sampling universe for that survey.
Rantao's political quagmire seems to be rooted in the disgraced agenda setting theory of the 1960's. Agenda-Setting theory contends that the media has the ability to transfer salience issues through their new agenda so the public agenda can form their understanding of the salience issues. Two basic assumptions underlie most research on agenda-setting: (1) the press and the media do not reflect reality; they filter and shape it; (2) media concentration on a few issues and subjects leads the public to perceive those issues as more important than other issues. The agenda setting theory is predicated on a notion that the media is a professional enterprise, political neutral in tone, and independent of commercial values.
However, the media in general and the South African press in particular is far from being politically neutral, it smuggles in values conducive to the commercial aims of monopoly capital, advertisers as well as political aims of the opposition parties. In short, it serves the interest of monied white males. Fortunately, the larger South African populace have seen through this fallacious media agenda.
To illustrate this point, the South African press ahead of the Battle of Mangaung (ANC 53rd National Conference) created two fictitious groupings i.e. ABZ (Anyone But Zuma) and Forces of Change. It was reported through extensive use of anonymous sources that these two groupings had one thing in mind, to dislodge Zuma from the presidency of the ANC.