Has Nigeria captured our Department of Trade and Industry?
If Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan is serious about averting a downgrade of South Africa's international credit rating, he should hot-foot it over to the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) to see what they're up to - and what he is up against.
The DTI is putting the finishing touches to new black economic empowerment (BEE) regulations. They extend bureaucratic power over listed companies and any others doing business with the state. They will deter investment - so much so that they read as if they have been drafted by a foreign power determined to wrench business away from South Africa.
One aim of the regulations is to empower organs of state to push up black ownership requirements from 25% to 51% for companies doing business with, or needing licences from, them. Smart companies will figure out how to achieve the 51% via "fronting" arrangements that leave control in the hands of the original owners - and plenty of money in the pockets of lawyers and accountants devising the cleverest fronting deals. But fronting carries penalties if you're caught, so the smartest companies will probably take their business elsewhere.
Back in 2013, Aliko Dangote, a Nigerian billionaire, said that BEE ownership requirements were like forced marriages. They used to have such laws in Nigeria, but capital dried up, so they got rid of them. Which raises the possibility that the DTI has been captured by countries seeking to attract investment away from South Africa. Before dismissing this as an early April fool's joke, we should remember that capture of state institutions is the name of the game in this country.
On the other hand, even if the regulations are not the handiwork of our economic rivals, they might just as well be, because they risk making the conduct of business in South Africa a Kafkaesque experience.