DA AND INDEPENDENT GROWTH ACCELERATES ANC'S SLIDE IN NELSON MANDELA BAY METRO
These two wards are very interesting barometers for the forthcoming local government elections in 2016, where the DA has publicly stated that it intends wining this strategic metro municipality.
Uitenhage has been rocked by a number of violent service delivery protests over the past few years. The impact of these protests and the outcomes of yesterday's by-elections are an ominous portent of things to come for the ANC in the Nelson Mandela Bay Metro.
The DA has grown steadily in Ward 46, which incorporates a large chunk of KwaNobuhle. In the 2011 local government elections the DA got 22.43% of the vote, in the May 2014 national/provincial elections 23.21%, and in the November 2014 by-election 28%.
This indicates that the governing ANC cannot arrest the slide in support that brought them below 50% in the national/provincial election. This despite the frantic campaigning of senior ANC figures such as the deputy president, Cyril Ramaphosa, no less.
The result in Ward 42, where an independent candidate beat the ANC, is an unmistakable sign that the party (ANC) is not bigger than the people. This result highlights the vulnerability of the ANC and this even without the contestation of the "new kid on the ANC's block", the EFF.