Crisis in business confidence to continue until market-friendly reforms are implemented
13 September 2019
Sakeliga is greatly concerned about the recent drop in business confidence, as measured on the RMB/BER Business Confidence Index (BCI). The RMB/BER BCI index dropped to the lowest level in 20 years in the third quarter of 2019. The index is currently at lower levels than the levels seen seen during the Great Financial Crisis of the late 2000s.
Gerhard van Onselen, senior analyst at Sakeliga, says, “We find the acute drop in business confidence in the third quarter of 2019 to 21 points highly troubling, but not entirely surprising. The reality is that a great many people in the business sector are experiencing heightened uncertainty and perceive mounting political risk, while having to deal with substantial regulatory interventionism and compliance burdens.”
Sakeliga’s recent in-house poll of members and subscribers in August of 2019 shows 84% of respondents perceiving worse political risk than 3 years before. Factors such weak economic prospects, concern over government policies (such as BEE) and political instability and uncertainty in general, emerged as some of the major themes of risk for the respondents polled.