Zuma’s TV statement shows how little he understands market psychology
11 January 2016
Congress of the People has long known that President Zuma understands neither economics nor constitutional democracy. His view that "there was an exaggeration in terms of the reaction," to his sacking of Nhlanhla Nene indicates how unfit he is to be president of South Africa. Each time he speaks on the Nene issue, the rand plummets. The next interview he is on the matter will see an exchange rate of R20.00 to the $1.00
Investors and the markets want certainty squared and cubed. The sudden, unexpected and out of the blue firing of the Minister of Finance was guaranteed to create shockwaves in the financial markets and they certainly did. His choice of replacement was so unsound and so reckless that it would have caused the market to crash if he had not been speedily removed.
At a time when South Africa is struggling with a continuing balance of payments deficit and the rand depreciating alarmingly, the sacred duty of government is to promote confidence, not to rattle the markets as President Zuma did. Furthermore, President Zuma’s lack of understanding of constitutional democracy is undermining investor confidence in South Africa. He mistakes success at the polls for majoritarianism. He wants unfettered rule and freedom from accountability and legal challenges when his administration violates rule of law. He has totally ruined the functioning of South Africa's parliament.
Furthermore, President Zuma and his administration have recklessly piled up the national debt to over two trillion rand and this means borrowing as though government bonds had been devalued to junk status. The ruling party, since 2009, has been taking South Africa ever closer to the fiscal cliff. As the huge pile of national debt comes due for payment this year and especially next year, South Africans will face very stormy times.