Jacob Zuma created a massive patronage network without benefit of a complicit finance minister. Viewing this through morality-focused lenses forfeits necessary insights.
The ANC’s policy prescriptions had become hopelessly misguided long before the Zuma era arrived. SA’s politics and economics have never aligned along a viable path.
If a talented and complicit finance minister had guided the patronage roll-out, SA's current trajectory would likely be a gradual decline extending across multiple election cycles. Instead, as the patronage system was installed with blatant disregard for financial prudence, both the cronies and SA's misconceived economic policy precepts, which trace to the 1990s, are now quite endangered.
While the oldest cronies can still hope to play out the clock, their younger accomplices are imminently vulnerable unless they can somehow achieve redemption through advancing SA’s interests. Consider how, against long odds, Julius Malema has earned - often begrudging - respect through significantly reinventing himself to fight corruption. While such successes will be elusive, the fact that young cronies are highly motivated to similarly demonstrate their worth, sharply improves the environment for much-needed policy reversals.
Amid intense factional infighting, Zuma’s first crony-aligned finance minister, Gigaba, is now openly, albeit inconsistently, highlighting inherently counterproductive aspects of SA’s hyper populism. The country’s policies must sharply pivot yet, in the absence of reckless clientelism, such a pivot away from what the poor want toward what they need, would probably have been postponed for at least another decade. This would have entrenched SA’s endemic poverty for another generation.