Matric 2017: Real Matric pass rate sits at a shocking 37%
The DA congratulates all learners who receive their Matric results today. However, we are deeply concerned by the truly shocking dropout figures that put the real Matric pass rate at 37.3%, when the pass rate is calculated from the Grade 10 class of 2015 who then passed their final school exams in 2017.
Only 49.7% of Grade 10s actually wrote the final NSC exams and a startling 37.3% of 2015’s Grade 10 learners actually passed. This means that over 62.7% of Grade 10s did not pass, dropped out or become stuck in the system – sometimes as a result of purposeful action by school leaders.
The situation has worsened from last year’s real pass rate of 40.2% - suggesting that our schooling system is not a ‘system on the rise’ as claimed.
The ‘real’ pass rates for each province highlights a dire situation which means that learners will not be able to enter post-school education or job market this year.
Class of 2017
|
Province |
Gr 10 (2015) |
Wrote NSC (2017) |
% Grade 10 (2015) who wrote NSC |
Passed NSC |
NSC pass rate (%) |
‘Real' pass rate (%) |
|
Eastern Cape |
154 774 |
67 648 |
43.7 |
43978 |
65.0 |
28.4 |
|
Free State |
59 613 |
25 130 |
42.2 |
21613 |
86.0 |
36.3 |
|
Gauteng |
170 844 |
97 284 |
56.9 |
82753 |
85.1 |
48.4 |
|
KwaZulu-Natal |
248 347 |
124 317 |
50.1 |
90587 |
72.9 |
36.5 |
|
Limpopo |
187 001 |
83 228 |
44.5 |
54621 |
65.6 |
29.2 |
|
Mpumalanga |
93 095 |
48 483 |
52.1 |
36273 |
74.8 |
39.0 |
|
North West |
68 464 |
30 792 |
45.0 |
24462 |
79.4 |
35.7 |
|
Northern Cape |
20 180 |
8 735 |
43.3 |
6607 |
75.6 |
32.7 |
|
Western Cape |
72 428 |
48 867 |
67.5 |
40440 |
82.8 |
55.8 |
|
National |
1 074 746 |
534 484 |
49.7 |
401334 |
75.1 |
37.3 |
The DA-run Western Cape again tops the ‘real’ results table, with the lowest dropout rate in the country.
The Free State, which topped this year’s Matric exams results, has the highest dropout rate of all the provinces. When you take this into account, the real pass rate for the Free State is only 36.3% - raising serious concerns about allegations that learners are being ‘culled’ from the system in order to preserve good matric pass rates.
The DA has repeatedly called for an investigation into the high dropout rate and specifically ‘culling’. Yet, Basic Education Minister, Angie Motshekga, has refused to even consider the issue of culling, contradicting her Deputy Director-General who confirmed last year that these practices were taking place.
The Minister cannot stick her head in the sand on this issue when the future of thousands of learners are at stake. Motshekga must explain why she consistently refuses to institute an investigation into culling when this means that more than half of Grade 10s do not pass their final Matric exams, making it less likely that they will be able to further their education or find a job.
Statement issued by Nomsa Marchesi MP, DA Shadow Deputy Minister of Basic Education, 5 January 2017
