Last week South Africa was enraptured by the 17 second video clip of Marelize Horn learning to crash a bicycle. With a completely open field before her, young Marelize pedalled directly towards the rugby post as if magnetised to its danger. With pinpoint accuracy and a loud clanging noise, Marelize smashed head-first into the only obstacle in sight. Millions of viewers listened as Marelize’s mother, Heidi, exclaimed in sheer exasperation, “My Fok Marelize”, and, at that very moment, I realised that President Cyril Ramaphosa was Marelize and the rest of the country was Heidi groaning in resigned frustration.
“My Fok Cyril”, we gave you the keys to the country, but you are heading straight for the rugby posts, and unlike Joel Stransky, in the rugby world cup, you not going between them. As we head towards elections 2019, and as Ramaphosa panders to the temple of popularism, rugby poles and elections polls are looking disturbingly similar.
Ramaphosa has a problem. He is stuck with a party ideologically held hostage in the long forgotten cold war. When the ANC looks in the mirror, it sees a revolutionary party fighting western imperialism in a world order that ended in 1989, when the Berlin Wall came tumbling down. Suddenly, in 1989, the world changed and sadly for the ANC, its Soviet-era trained Che Guevara beret wearing technocrats and Gucci clad policy makers, it did not. Stuck in a by-gone era and beholden to popularism in its attempts to fight off the ideological challenge of the neo-fascist Economic Freedom Fighters by pandering to popularism, the ANC has become Dorian Grey, projecting an image of vitality while decaying deeply inside.
Living in its fantasy world, the ANC sends delegations to Venezuela to prop-up its crumbling president, Nicolás Maduro, it signs cooperation agreements with the internationally shunned racist and fascist Hamas regime in Gaza and it shields the revolutionary theocratic dictatorship of Iran, one of the most bloodthirsty regimes in the world. Wedded to the ideological romanticism of the Cuban revolution, it dances a salsa with the failed Caribbean dictatorship where most of the population survive on government salve labour with a salary of $25 per month. Its actions and ideology are out of step with the modern world and isolated from the rest of the BRICS assemblage, with whom, we as a nation, supposedly identify.
But for our political cyclist, the problem goes much deeper. South Africa is slipping further and further behind the rest of the world in competitiveness, economic growth, education, healthcare, technological development, maths science…The list looks as long as Marelizes’ journey to public humiliation.
Playing to the crowd, Ramaphosa speaks of confiscating private land for re-distribution, while the state has failed to re-distribute its own land. Its rhetoric on land-redistribution may undercut the EFF’s election platform, but it undermines confidence in South Africa. Sitting in New York, London, Berlin and Tel Aviv, investors look upon us with scepticism. Marelize must have learned Newtons third law of physics in her science lessons, “for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction”. Capital follows confidence and here at the bottom of Africa we know how to point our bicycle directly at the rugby posts.