It is time to take coalition politics seriously
In a recent column, Max du Preez argued that “Right now, President Cyril Ramaphosa is South Africa’s best hope to stop the epidemic of cheap populism in our political culture. But that can only happen if his party achieves a convincing victory in next year’s election.” Du Preez went on to claim that “…if the ANC dips under 50% or even scrapes in just over half the votes next year, the populists will have a field day and the dream of a better life for all will once more be deferred.”
Du Preez’s column provoked furious criticism on social media, with many commenters questioning why he was unable to envision any alternatives to the ANC, which has so unequivocally demonstrated its inability to effectively govern South Africa. On Twitter, Du Preez responded to his critics by stating that “Nobody should get a free pass. Ever.
My column was about options, though.” A few hours later, he – presumably sarcastically – tweeted the following in response to an article by Mmusi Maimane, which pointed out that returning the ANC to power after decades of pillage would be a body blow to the country’s democracy: “Okay, then, let’s force the ANC below 50% of the vote. And afterwards have Julius Malema as our deputy president of a coalition government. Viva.”
For now, let’s leave aside other obvious flaws in his original argument, such as that rewarding the ANC with a bigger mandate after a decade of state capture could be a fatal mistake, and that only the ANC as a party – and not Cyril Ramaphosa – will be on the ballot next year. Instead, let’s examine the reasoning that leads Du Preez to conclude that a “convincing victory” for the ANC is really our only way forward.
Despite claiming that his column was about “options,” Du Preez was not giving readers the full picture. As emerged from his Twitter responses, he seems to assume that the choice confronting South Africa in the 2019 elections is a simple binary one: either (a) reelect the ANC with more than 50%, or (b) punish the ANC by pushing the party below 50%, in which case a national coalition government between the ANC and EFF is inevitable.