South Africa’s nuclear experience and aspirations
Saturday, 06 August 2016: Recent global developments show that the world is increasingly moving towards nuclear power and that South Africa is on the correct path with its nuclear aspirations. Current projections indicate that nuclear will provide over 1 000 GW of power by 2050 from its current level of 396 GW. This will be generated not only by existing users of nuclear power plants but increasingly by new entrants that are finding the relatively cheaper financial and environmental cost of nuclear power attractive.
In order to generate this 1 000GW, there is an expected increase in the number and size of nuclear power plants from the current 450 commercial nuclear reactors operating in 30 countries. There are 65 nuclear power plants currently under construction. The aspiration is to increase nuclear energy contribution in the energy mix from the current 11% to 25% of global power. Construction is also taking place in the United Arab Emirates and Belarus and they are constructing their first nuclear power plants.
It is fundamental to note that at least 15 countries that did not have any nuclear power plant activities are starting to pursue nuclear power strategies including Poland, Turkey, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Malaysia, Jordan, Nigeria, Egypt, Ghana, Namibia, Zambia, Saudi Arabia, Cambodia, and Libya.
On the home front, nuclear energy currently accounts for over 4% of the South Africa’s power supply. To this extent, South Africa has committed to building new nuclear power plants in its bid to increasingly diversify its energy mix to lower carbon emissions as required under COP21 energy targets, and in order to generate cheaper electricity and thereby further stimulate economic growth.
As such, South Africa targets generation of 9.6 GW of nuclear power by 2030 which will be rolled out in chunks that can be sustainably afforded. In order to fulfil this 9.6GW ambition, government has appointed the Department of Energy as the procuring agent and Eskom as the owner-operator of new nuclear power plants.