Some enthusiasts refer to the ANC as the “glorious movement.” Every time I hear the phrase I think of what happens when one has a few teaspoons of castor oil. If it ever was that, it is now a very ordinary political party that is heading for the scrap heap because it has become an instrument for looting and self-aggrandisement and spends its time on internal squabbles, quite forgetting the people who put it into power.
Pravin Gordhan says Cyril Ramaphosa is the only leader who can save the ANC. Most voters want to save South Africa rather than saving the ANC, but let’s accept that Mr Gordhan thinks Cyril Ramaphosa would be good for both the ANC and South Africa.
The reverse argument is that the other real aspirant for leadership, Dr Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma (NDZ), would not. This is despite the argument of some powerful groupings in the ANC that it needs a woman at the helm. The qualities needed seem less important than her gender. When one mentions that there are other women who are at least as competent and experienced, such as Minister Lindiwe Sisulu, the eyes of zealots glaze over; the owners stress that NDZ is an accomplished person and a doctor in her own right with three successful ministerial terms behind her as well as a term as chairperson the AU Council. This sets her apart, they say, and counts for far more than being one of the ex-wives, the mother of around 20% of the Zuma children, and a stepmother of all the others, like Duduzane Zuma, the Gupta millionaire.
NDZ’s problem is that she is all these things, with the advantage and the disadvantage of Jacob Zuma’s backing. That automatically qualifies her for the support of JZ’s loyal followers – and there are still many of those – as well as the outright rejection of his opponents.
The number of the opponents is said to be growing; with the endless revelation of ever more government scandals the blessing of Jacob Zuma’s support may well become a curse. NDZ may yet rue support from that quarter and may wish she had adopted a more independent approach to some of the ridiculous policy positions that she has adopted: “Land, Land, land;” “ownership of the Reserve Bank;” and “breaking the monopoly of the banks” are puerile and designed to appeal to the lowest common denominator. They ill- become an intelligent and sophisticated politician like NDZ.
That said, informed opinion within the ANC is that despite the enmity of most of the Cyril Ramaphosa media, NKZ has a good chance of succeeding in being elected as president of the ANC, with an excellent chance of following Jacob Zuma as the president of South Africa if he steps down early or when his term ends in 2019.